The Role of Currency Futures in Mitigating Currency Risk
Derivatives can play a key role in mitigating currency risk that arises out of dealing in international trade. The exchange exposure in a Forex trade can be taken care of by using derivatives. Derivatives come in various forms such as Futures, Options, etc. Futures allow a seller and a buyer to hedge their positions. Unlike Options, Futures do not involve payment of an upfront premium, thus becoming a cost effective way for hedging currency risk in Forex Trade.
What are Currency Futures?
Currency Futures are important tools that help in locking-in exchange rate to guard a trader’s position in the Forex Trade in future. One can fix the to and fro of cash flows in one currency with respect to the another by purchasing or selling foreign exchange Futures. Purchasing a foreign exchange Future is known as long hedging while selling it means taking a short hedge position. One of the major limitations of using Currency Futures in hedging is that Futures deal in limited currencies only.
How Currency Futures Work?
Let us understand the working of Currency Futures with the help of an example –
Example: Assume that a German importer promises a U.S exporter payment of Euro 500,000 on 1st August, 2009. To cover exchange rate risk that the U.S exporter is exposed to, he resorts to selling Futures in Euro now. Suppose the spot rate today is 0.4407 ($/Euro). Expected cash inflow from German exporter on 1st Aug, 2009 is $220,350 (Euro 500,000 * 0.4407).
The U.S. exporter will sell four September Futures contracts at $/Euro rate of 0.442 that is prevailing in the market. The equivalent notional amount in dollars will be $221,000 (Euro 500,000 * 0.442).
Suppose the dollar appreciates on 1st August, 2009 and the spot exchange rate becomes 0.43908. The equivalent amount in dollars will be $219,540 (Euro 500,000 * 0.43908). Loss on spot position will be $810 ($220,350-$219,540).
At the Forex trade scenario, the situation will be as follows. Buy four September Euro Futures contract at the rate of 0.44038. The exporter will have the notional right to buy Euro 500,000 by making a payment of $220,190 (Euro 500,000 * 0.44038). In this case, Profit = $810 ($221,000-$220,190).
Hence, we can observe that the loss arising from the spot market is covered by dealing in Futures market.
