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The Role of Currency Futures in Mitigating Currency Risk

Derivatives can play a key role in mitigating currency risk that arises out of dealing in international trade. The exchange exposure in a Forex trade can be taken care of by using derivatives. Derivatives come in various forms such as Futures, Options, etc. Futures allow a seller and a buyer to hedge their positions. Unlike Options, Futures do not involve payment of an upfront premium, thus becoming a cost effective way for hedging currency risk in Forex Trade.

What are Currency Futures?

Currency Futures are important tools that help in locking-in exchange rate to guard a trader’s position in the Forex Trade in future. One can fix the to and fro of cash flows in one currency with respect to the another by purchasing or selling foreign exchange Futures. Purchasing a foreign exchange Future is known as long hedging while selling it means taking a short hedge position. One of the major limitations of using Currency Futures in hedging is that Futures deal in limited currencies only.

How Currency Futures Work?

Let us understand the working of Currency Futures with the help of an example –

Example: Assume that a German importer promises a U.S exporter payment of Euro 500,000 on 1st August, 2009. To cover exchange rate risk that the U.S exporter is exposed to, he resorts to selling Futures in Euro now. Suppose the spot rate today is 0.4407 ($/Euro). Expected cash inflow from German exporter on 1st Aug, 2009 is $220,350 (Euro 500,000 * 0.4407).

The U.S. exporter will sell four September Futures contracts at $/Euro rate of 0.442 that is prevailing in the market. The equivalent notional amount in dollars will be $221,000 (Euro 500,000 * 0.442).

Suppose the dollar appreciates on 1st August, 2009 and the spot exchange rate becomes 0.43908. The equivalent amount in dollars will be $219,540 (Euro 500,000 * 0.43908). Loss on spot position will be $810 ($220,350-$219,540).

At the Forex trade scenario, the situation will be as follows. Buy four September Euro Futures contract at the rate of 0.44038. The exporter will have the notional right to buy Euro 500,000 by making a payment of $220,190 (Euro 500,000 * 0.44038). In this case, Profit = $810 ($221,000-$220,190).

Hence, we can observe that the loss arising from the spot market is covered by dealing in Futures market.

The Forex Market If Not Now When?

Forex, FX and the Forex market are some common abbreviations for the Foreign Exchange market. Actually it is the largest financial market in the world, where money is sold and bought freely. In its present condition the Forex market was launched in the seventies, when free exchange rates were introduced, and only the participants of the market determine the price of one currency against the other proceeding from demand and supply. As far as the freedom from any external control and free competition are concerned, the Forex market is a perfect market.

With a daily turnover of over trillions of dollars, the Foreign Exchange market conducts more than three times the aggregate amount volume of the United States Equity and Treasury markets combined. The Forex market is an over-the-counter market where buyers and sellers conduct foreign exchange business using different means of communication.

Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location or central exchange. Since the Forex market lacks a physical exchange, the market trades continuously on a 24-hour basis, moving from one time zone to the next, across each of the world’s major financial centers every day. Trillions of dollars of foreign exchange activity takes place every day. From 1997 to the end of 2000, daily forex trading volume surged approximately from US billion to US.5 trillion and more (according to various recent studies it has touched .7 trillion per day and dwarfs all other markets for trading in size and volume). It is really difficult, if not impossible; to determine an absolutely exact number because trading is not centralized on an exchange. But one thing is for sure that the Forex market continues to grow at a phenomenal rate.

Before the advent of Internet and ecommerce, only big corporations, multinational banks and wealthy individuals could trade currencies in the Forex market through the use of the proprietary trading systems of banks. These systems required as much as US million to open an account. Thanks to advancements in online technology, today investors with only a few thousand dollars can have access to the Forex market 24 hours a day and around 5 ½ days of a week.

The Forex market is a nonstop cash market where currencies of nations are traded, typically via brokers called forex brokers. Foreign currencies are constantly and simultaneously bought and sold across local and global markets while traders increase or decrease value of an investment upon currency movements. Foreign exchange market conditions can change at any time in response to real-time events so it is also considered to be a highly volatile and fragile market too. Conditions of the Forex market never remain the same they changes every second.

The foreign exchange market dwarfs the combined operations of the New York, London, and Tokyo futures and stock exchanges. According to its size and scope it is many times larger than all other markets. Stats shows that spot transactions and forward outright Forex trading take place in the inter-bank market. 51% of the market is in spot Forex transactions, followed by 32% in currency swap transactions. Forward outright Forex transactions represent another 5% of this daily turnover, with options on ‘interbank’ Forex transactions making up another 8%. Therefore the inter-bank market accounts for 96% of the global foreign exchange market, with the remaining 4% being divided among all the global futures exchanges.

For traders, Forex trading provides an alternative to stock market trading. While there are thousands of stocks to choose from, there are only a few major currencies to trade (the Dollar, Yen, British Pound, Swiss Franc, and the Euro are the most popular). Forex trading also provides a lot more leverage than stock trading, and the minimum investment to get started is a lot lower. Add to that the ability to choose flexible trading hours (forex trading goes on 24 hours a day) and you have the reason why so many stock traders have flocked to day trade currencies.

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Forex Market Maker – A Look At Forex Market Makers

Forex Market Maker

The investor in the cash market takes for granted too a pair of currencies can be bought or sold at a moment’s notice. Once an order is placed with a broker, the trade is completed within seconds. It is, of course, not as easy as that.

Whenever a pair of currencies is bought or sold, there must be someone at the other end of the transaction. It is very unlikely that the investor will always find someone who is interested in buying and selling the same two currencies at the same amount, and at the same time. Hence, the question remains, “How is it possible that the forex investor can buy or sell at any time?” This is where the forex market makers come in.

The forex market maker is a bank or brokerage company that stands ready, every second of the trading day with a firm bid and ask price. This is good for the investor because when the investor chooses to buy and sell a pair of currencies, the market maker will purchase from and sell to the investor, even if they do not have a buyer and seller lined up. In doing so, they are literally “making a market” for the currencies.

Forex market makers ensure that the market is always functional and that the currencies in it will always fetch the market rate. Forex market makers do so by updating their prices at intervals of at least 30 seconds and undertaking to trade if this is requested. Forex market makers must fulfill their obligations irrespective of whether the economic situation is favorable or unfavorable, or whether they lose or profit by doing so.

Typical forex market makers include Gain Capital, CMS Forex, Forex Capital Markets (FXCM), and Global Forex Trading, all of which are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) of the USA. Another prominent forex market maker is Saxo Bank, which is regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) of Denmark.

Until recently, central banks, commercial banks and investment banks dominated the forex market. Due to the entry of forex market makers, other market players like international money brokers, large multinational companies, registered dealers, global money managers, and private speculators have entered the market in large numbers.
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